Odds Nascar Kentucky

  
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The NASCAR Cup Series moves to the Kentucky Speedway for the Quaker State 400 presented by Walmart. The green flag drops Sunday at 2:30 p.m. ET with the race televised on FOX Sports 1. Below, we analyze the Quaker State 400 odds and betting lines, with NASCAR picks and tips with odds from BetMGM sportsbook.

Kevin Harvick took the checkered flag at Indianapolis less than 24 hours ago, but odds are already available for Sunday’s Quaker State 400 (2:30 p.m. ET, FS1) at Kentucky Speedway, so it’s. Odds to Win the 2021 NASCAR Cup Series Championship according to BetOnline Sportsbook. Updated on November 17, 2020. NASCAR Cup Series Odds to Win Nascar Cup Series Championship 2021 Kevin Harvick +500 Chase Elliott +700 Denny Hamlin +700 Joey Logano +700 Kyle Busch +700 Brad Keselowski +800 Martin Truex Jr +800 Kyle Larson +1200. NASCAR race odds to win at Kentucky. Though Harvick has not won any of the nine Cup Series races that have been run at Kentucky since 2011, he is the favorite for Sunday's race because he has been.

Quaker State 400: What you need to know

Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 1:10 p.m. ET.

Sunday’s race at Kentucky Speedway will be the 10th installment since its NASCAR Cup Series debut race won by Joe Gibbs Racing driver Kyle Busch in 2011.

Busch has won this race twice, the inaugural event in 2011, and again in 2015.Kyle’s older brother, Kurt Busch, won last season’s Kentucky race, starting from the fourth position. It was the first time a Chevrolet picked up checkers at Sparta, Ky., snapping a two-race win streak for Toyota.Penske Racing’s

Odds For Nascar Kentucky

Brad Keselowski has won this race three times, leading all drivers in that category. JGR’s Martin Truex Jr. joins Keselowski and Kyle Busch as multiple winners. Truex drove to Victory Lane in back-to-back races in 2017 and ’18.Ganassi Racing’s Matt Kenseth, who finished second at Indianapolis Sunday, won the 2013 Kentucky race from the 16th starting position. He is the only winner in the nine-year history of the event to start outside of the top 10.Seven-time champ Jimmie Johnson, who had his streak of 663 consecutive starts snapped when a positive coronavirus test forced him to skip Indianapolis last week, will race Sunday. He tested negative on Monday and Tuesday, green-lighting his return to the Hendrick Motorsports No. 48 Chevrolet.

Who is going to win the Quaker State 400?

KYLE BUSCH (+650 for Sunday’s race) has had a surprisingly difficult season, failing to win any of the 16 races. However, he has three runner-up finishes and seven top-5 showings so far. He led 100 laps at Bristol on May 31, but a total of just 16 laps in the seven races since. Despite those struggles, he has dominated at Kentucky in the past.

Busch has three straight top-5 runs at Kentucky, and he leads all drivers with a 4.7 Average-Finish Position (AFP) in nine Kentucky starts. He has eight top-10 showings with two victories.

BRAD KESELOWSKI (+800) leads everyone with three wins in the first nine Kentucky races, including a win from the pole in 2014. Two of his past three starts at the track have been adventures, finishing 39th in 2017 and 20th last season. He is also second to Kyle Busch (621) with 524 laps led all time at the track.

Nascar Odds Kentucky 2020

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KEVIN HARVICK (+450) has won two of his past three races, including last week’s thriller at Indy. “Happy” went off the rails with a 22nd-place finish last season at Kentucky, but before that, he had a string of six consecutive top-10 showings. His 10.8 AFP in nine Kentucky starts is fourth-best among all active drivers.

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Kentucky Speedway long-shot bets

ERIK JONES (+2500) is a tremendous value at this price as he has finishes of sixth, seventh and third in three-career Cup starts at the track. That third-place run came last season, and he is second to teammate Kyle Busch among active drivers in AFP at Kentucky (minimum three starts).

KURT BUSCH (+2000) won last season’s race at Kentucky, so why not again? He is fifth among active drivers with a 10.8 AFP in nine starts, including two top-5 runs, six top-10 showings and 137 laps led. Before his win last season, he was sixth in 2018. He now has four top-10 showings in his past five Kentucky starts. At this price he is a solid value and worth a small-unit wager.

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Picking a winner based on the odds for Sunday’s NASCAR Cup Series race at Kentucky Speedway is tricky since the event is now a day race. NASCAR’s schedule changes amid the COVID-19 pandemic pushed the Cup race at Kentucky to Sunday afternoon rather than its traditional Saturday night slot, and track conditions will be different in the heat of the day than they would be in the cool of the night.

Which means the results of past Kentucky races are not as helpful when it comes to predicting how Sunday’s race will play out. Only one of the previous nine NASCAR Cup Series races at the 1.5-mile oval in Sparta, Ky., has been a day race, and that was due to a rain delay in 2014.

The odds for Sunday’s NASCAR race at Kentucky also are interesting because the favorite to win, Kevin Harvick, has never been to victory lane at this particular track, one of two places (the Charlotte ROVAL being the other) where the current Cup Series points leader has not won.

Below are the complete Vegas odds to win Sunday’s NASCAR Cup Series race at Kentucky, plus our top three picks of drivers who could end up taking the checkered flag.

NASCAR race odds to win at Kentucky

Though Harvick has not won any of the nine Cup Series races that have been run at Kentucky since 2011, he is the favorite for Sunday’s race because he has been dominant of late. Not only does he lead the points standings by 85 points over second-place Chase Elliott, but after last week’s win at Indianapolis, he is tied with Denny Hamlin for the most wins this year with four. Harvick has held the top spot in the points since March.

And it’s not like Harvick has been bad in his nine starts at Kentucky. He has posted one top five, six top 10s and an average finish of 10.8.

Below are the complete odds to win Sunday’s NASCAR Cup Series race at Kentucky, courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.

Of the drivers currently in the top 10 in the NASCAR Cup Series points standings, Kyle Busch (10th in points) has by far the best driver rating at Kentucky. His rating of 125.5 is comfortably north of Brad Keselowski’s 105.5, Martin Truex Jr.’s 102.6 and Harvick’s 102.4.

Nascar Odds At Kentucky Speedway 2020

Below are the top 10 driver ratings at Kentucky Speedway among those in Sunday’s field.

Busch not only has the best rating going into Sunday’s race, but he also has the benefit of starting on the pole based on Wednesday’s random draw for starting positions.

Three of the nine Kentucky Cup Series races have been won from the pole, including Busch’s 2011 victory when qualifying was canceled by weather. Five of the nine Cup Series races at Kentucky have been won from the front row.

Below is the breakdown of wins from all positions that have produced victors in the history of Cup racing (nine total races) at Kentucky.

The top 10 starters for Sunday’s race at Kentucky are as follows: 1. Kyle Busch, 2. Joey Logano, 3. Kevin Harvick, 4. Aric Almirola, 5. Alex Bowman, 6. Brad Keselowski, 7. Kurt Busch, 8. Chase Elliott, 9. Martin Truex Jr., 10. Matt DiBenedetto

Nascar Odds Kentucky

NASCAR at Kentucky expert picks

1. Kyle Busch

Career stats at Kentucky:

Busch being 0-for-16 this season doesn’t scare us from picking the driver who statistically is the best in the series at Kentucky. Joe Gibbs Racing clearly has speed this season, as evidenced by its five wins. Time for the defending Cup Series champion to get on the board for 2020.

2. Kevin Harvick

Career stats at Kentucky:

This is a boring pick, but it’s hard not to go with the favorite for Sunday’s race and the driver who has led an absurd 14.81 percent of the laps he has completed this season. Harvick is on a hot streak and is looking to get his first victory at a track where he tends to run well.

3. Joey Logano

Vegas Odds Nascar Kentucky

Career stats at Kentucky:

Yes, Brad Keselowski is the Team Penske driver who has been the best at Kentucky, notching a series-high three wins at the track over the last nine years. But it’s not like Logano has run poorly. He also has three Xfinity Series wins at Kentucky. The Penske power should be on display yet again Sunday.

Nascar Odds For Kentucky

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